We’re coming off a big 3-0 night, and we’re looking to keep the momentum rolling this weekend. On Sunday we’ve got us an absolute shitter of a card with UFC Fight Night 103: Yair Rodriguez vs BJ Penn. Yes, this is the same BJ Penn that hasn’t competed since 2014, and hasn’t won a fight since 2011… And on that note, let’s dive in!
Frankie Saenz vs Augusto Mendes:
The main fight on the prelims features a couple solid bantamweights looking get back on track. Saenz started off his UFC career 3-0, but his last 2 fights have ended in defeat at the hands of veterans Urijah Faber and Eddie Wineland. Saenz moves down in competition with this fight to try and build up some momentum for another run towards the top of the division. Mendes is 0-1 in the UFC, and the last time we saw him in the octagon he was lying face down thanks to a vicious right hand from current champion Cody Garbrandt. Mendes took that fight on short notice, but hasn’t fought in almost a year due to a knee injury. I expect ring rust to effect Mendes in this fight against a crafty veteran that doesn’t have many weaknesses in his arsenal. Mendes’ best chance is to use his elite jiu-jitsu skills to lock in a submission, but Saenz was a D1 wrestler at Arizona State (hmu if there are any ASU ladies reading this) which will make a submission for Mendes very hard to come by. Saenz at -165.
Sergio Pettis #15 vs John Moraga #8:
Pettis came into the UFC 3 years ago as a 20 year old kid labeled as the next big thing. A lot of the hype around him was the fact that his older brother, Anthony, was the UFC lightweight champion at the time. Pettis is 5-2 in the UFC, and has looked fantastic in his last 2 fights, which included a win over former title challenger Chris Cariaso. Come Sunday night, Pettis will be looking to defeat another former title challenger in John Moraga. Moraga has lost 2 straight fights, and is 3-3 since his title fight against pound-for-pound #1 Demetrious Johnson back in 2013. Moraga is a dangerous veteran that has power in his hands, and a very slick jiu-jitsu game. Pettis holds the advantage on the feet, he’s smooth and throws heavy volumes of strikes and keeps a high pace throughout. Pettis also has tremendous takedown defense, which will be the key to avoiding the dangerous submission game of Moraga. If Pettis can limit his mistakes he’ll get his hand raised at the end of this one, and put his name among the elites of the 125 lbs division. Pettis at -150.
Joe Lauzon vs Marcin Held:
“Big B’s Lock” Joe Lauzon is undoubtedly one of my favorite fighters of all time. The slick veteran holds the UFC record for most post fight bonuses with 15! And I can honestly say I’ve never seen Lauzon in a boring fight, and the man wheres the crimson mask on his face with pride. Lauzon is an extremely skilled fighter, he has 26 victories and 25 of them have been finishes! Marcin Held is 24 year old prospect looking for his first UFC victory. Don’t let his young age fool you though, he’s had 27 pro fights including when he lost in a Bellator title fight to Will Brooks. Held is similar to Lauzon as he loves to try to get finishes early and often. Held’s defense/cardio have often been called into question, and those are two question marks you can’t afford to have when fighting a guy like Lauzon. These are two very similar fighters, but I like the veteran Lauzon to bounce back coming off a loss, as he hasn’t lost 2 in a row since 2012. Lauzon at -120.
That’ll do it for me, hope everyone wins plenty of money and has a great weekend!