We’ve got a weekend straight from a gamblers dream on the horizon. First we’ve got the Kentucky Derby, where I’ve already put an absurd amount of money on the line, and then later that night we’ve got the biggest boxing match of the year in Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez taking on Julio Cesar Chavez Jr… Where I once again have a substantial amount of my life savings invested. These are exciting times people!
For those unaware, Canelo and Chavez Jr are the two faces of Mexican boxing, and they don’t like each other one bit. Let’s mention this is completely different than being the face of say, American boxing. Mexicans live for their boxing, it’s a way of life.. and the fact that their top two boxers are going to throw down on Cinco de Mayo weekend is a huge deal. The match will take place at 164.5 lbs, which is a whopping 9.5 lbs heavier than Canelo has ever fought at. On the flip side, Chavez has been extremely bad at making 168 lbs, which is why he’ll be fined $1,000,000 for every pound he’s over weight. There’s no telling whether or not this penalty is enough to stop Chavez Jr from coming in with a massive size advantage (and size will be the only advantage he holds in this match).
Canelo comes into this match as a huge favorite, and for good reason. He’s 48-1-1 with his loss coming to Floyd Mayweather when Canelo was just 22 years old. Now at 26, we’ve seen Canelo come into his own winning 6 straight since his loss with wins over some of the best boxers in the world, including Miguel Cotto, Liam Smith and Amir Khan. Now that he’s coming into his prime seems like the perfect opportunity for Canelo to be making this move up in weight as the cut to 155 was too grueling. He’ll often be the shorter man in his fights now, but his combination of power, speed and slick moves is almost impossible to match. With a win over Chavez Jr, We could finally be in store for the fight everyones been calling for, Canelo vs Gennady Golovkin, better known as GGG, as well as the P4P king.
For Chavez Jr, this looks like an uphill battle. But luckily for him, everyone knows that.. which he can come in and possibly pull off the upset of the year, and earn himself the fight with GGG. This will be one of the few times Chavez Jr will step into the ring with more pressure being on his opponent than himself, I guess that’s what happens when your father is not only the greatest Mexican to ever lace up the gloves, but one of the greatest period. Size will be the story heading into the match as Chavez Jr will hold a 4 inch height advantage, 2 inches of reach, and what should be a 15-25 lbs weight advantage come fight night. The question is… Will these be enough to outmatch the superior boxing skills of Canelo?
I think Chavez Jr has a chance to come out early and bring the fight to Canelo, which should win him some rounds. But as the fight goes on I see Chavez Jr fading while Canelo lays it on him, earning either a late stoppage or a pretty decisive decision victory. The odds suck, as they should, but that’s not gonna stop me from taking Canelo at -650.
I know I’m getting my hopes up too much, but GGG already said he’s waiting to fight the winner of Canelo vs Chavez Jr. Put it on the record now, if Oscar De La Hoya and stupid ass Golden Boy Promotions prevents this fight from happening AGAIN, I’ll personally find that cockroach and beat his ass worse than Pacquiao did back in ’08… And his corner won’t be there to throw in the towel for him this time. BIG B OUT.