It’s the final race before the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series playoffs begin, and what better place for it than Bristol Motor Speedway.

Like I said before April’s race here, absolutely anything can happen. Bristol Motor Speedway is, at least in my opinion, the most exciting and unpredictable track on the circuit.

Here’s who I’d put some money on Saturday night…

*odds are according to Westgate Sportsbook

Sleeper Pick: Ricky Stenhouse (60/1)

Betting on Stenhouse might be a smart idea. He isn’t going to win a ton of races, but if there’s one he could squeak out a victory it’s Bristol. He has two top fives in his last five races at the half-mile course. He very well could win you some big bucks.

Value Pick: Joey Logano (20/1)

My pick for last weekend’s race at Michigan¬†was running well until he suffered a flat tire toward the end of the race. Logano has had success at Bristol and is great value at 20/1. Plus, this is a big race for him as it pretty much determines his playoff hopes.

Two Safest Picks: Kevin Harvick (10/1) & Jimmie Johnson (15/1)

Notice how I didn’t pick Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., or Kyle Larson who all have the best odds? I’d rather take Harvick or Johnson for this race. They have the better track record (literally) at Bristol the last few years and provide some nice value at their current odds as well.

My Pick: Kevin Harvick